This month’s volatility, reminiscent of the drawdown in February and March, has temporarily taken away much of this year’s prior market gains. And international markets, small caps, and bonds have also struggled recently, putting a greater drag on diversified portfolios. Read More
The Conference Board Economic Forecast for the U.S. Economy April 11, 2018
2018 Outlook Stays Strong, but Downside Risks Rise
Can the US economy in 2018 live up to expectations? Starting the year with a 3.0 growth forecast is a tough act to measure up to. In fact, first-quarter growth was a mere 1.9 percent. While our GDP growth projection remains strong, we are increasingly concerned that it could fall short of expectations.
March 7, 2018
Summary: As forecast in my 2018 Outlook, markets have seen a return to “normal” this year with increased volatility and an expected correction in the stock market. Despite the recent correction and volatility, this does not signal the end of the bull market which will likely continue for another year, or two. International markets, many still in earlier stages of the economic cycle, continue to look like a bright spot for continued growth. But with the economy now in its mature stage and inflation and other factors now at play, we cannot rule out a recession coming sooner than we expect.
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